Statistics Profile

Ryan Rouady

2000

College of William & Mary Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1157	671 - 1642	858	1276
Épée	Direct elimination	1511	694 - 2327	1511	1814
Saber	Pool	1025	610 - 1439	1025	1335
Saber	Direct elimination	1259	261 - 2256	1259	1676

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.