Statistics Profile

James Wu

2013

Pegasus Sword Academy Inc.

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1068	898 - 1237	542	1068
Épée	Direct elimination	1570	1353 - 1786	1186	1593
Foil	Pool	801	611 - 990	262	828
Foil	Direct elimination	1011	660 - 1361	747	1579

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.