Statistics Profile

Ethan Nguyen

2008

Team Touche Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1260	707 - 1812	1181	1444
Épée	Direct elimination	1193	209 - 2176	1193	2079
Foil	Pool	800	554 - 1045	760	960
Foil	Direct elimination	852	290 - 1413	826	1418

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.