Statistics Profile

Beatrix Chavez

2012

Plymouth/Ann Arbor Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	782	605 - 958	590	867
Épée	Direct elimination	1272	1011 - 1532	1213	1851
Foil	Pool	673	486 - 859	433	1432
Foil	Direct elimination	912	567 - 1256	876	1800
Saber	Pool	622	0 - 1316	622	1063
Saber	Direct elimination	1303	224 - 2381	1303	1608

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.