Statistics Profile

Emily Paik

2016

Fencers Club Inc.

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	286	49 - 522	286	1164
Foil	Direct elimination	1090	656 - 1523	1060	1710
Saber	Pool	624	96 - 1151	618	982
Saber	Direct elimination	1721	877 - 2564	1721	1962

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.