Statistics Profile

John Lee

2013

Team Touche Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	511	0 - 1096	511	511
Épée	Direct elimination	1250	234 - 2265	1250	1250
Foil	Pool	684	419 - 948	684	1434
Foil	Direct elimination	1131	591 - 1670	1020	1736

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.