Statistics Profile

Michael Robichaud

2006

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1596	1110 - 2081	1596	1596
Épée	Direct elimination	2428	1617 - 3238	2428	2428
Foil	Pool	1975	1489 - 2460	1975	2070
Foil	Direct elimination	2169	1301 - 3036	2169	2540

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.