Statistics Profile

Jack Falcone

2009

Medeo Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1520	1348 - 1691	1251	1796
Foil	Direct elimination	1753	1542 - 1963	1264	1810
Saber	Pool	2919	1936 - 3901	2919	2919
Saber	Direct elimination	2102	672 - 3531	2102	2102

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.