Statistics Profile

Natalia Rivera

2010

Beverly Hills Fencers' Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1567	1324 - 1809	1485	1865
Épée	Direct elimination	2055	1662 - 2447	1585	2116
Foil	Pool	1386	902 - 1869	926	1386
Foil	Direct elimination	1986	1216 - 2755	1760	1986

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.