Statistics Profile

Alexander Govorov

2010

Revolution Fencing Center Philadelphia Fencers Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1692	1527 - 1856	505	1692
Épée	Direct elimination	1836	1644 - 2027	1050	1840
Foil	Pool	1400	873 - 1926	1399	1400
Foil	Direct elimination	1706	774 - 2637	1706	1992

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.