Statistics Profile

Bradley Cramer

1986

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1786	1162 - 2409	1786	1786
Épée	Direct elimination	2510	1765 - 3254	2510	2510
Foil	Pool	1919	1012 - 2825	1919	1919
Foil	Direct elimination	3101	1931 - 4270	3101	3101

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.