Statistics Profile

Mousa Alimi

2012

Cavalier Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1164	529 - 1798	1164	2753
Épée	Direct elimination	1337	431 - 2242	1337	1557
Foil	Pool	500	267 - 732	400	981
Foil	Direct elimination	1106	614 - 1597	1077	2843

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.