Statistics Profile

Kyle Johnson

1983

Fargo-Moorhead Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1286	234 - 2337	1286	1286
Épée	Direct elimination	2079	640 - 3517	2079	2079
Foil	Pool	1433	358 - 2507	1433	1433
Foil	Direct elimination	2047	648 - 3445	2047	2047

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.