Statistics Profile

Scott Allen

2002

Indiana University of PA (IUP) Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1536	1138 - 1933	1497	2762
Épée	Direct elimination	1841	1018 - 2663	1841	2079
Foil	Direct elimination	1469	538 - 2399	1469	1469

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.