Statistics Profile

Matthew Bissada

2008

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1371	1105 - 1636	1321	1734
Épée	Direct elimination	1387	834 - 1939	1319	1924
Foil	Pool	824	501 - 1146	824	1975
Foil	Direct elimination	974	213 - 1734	974	2079

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.