Statistics Profile

Christopher Alexander

2009

Freehold Fencing Academy

Is this your profile? Register with your USFA ID to claim it.

Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1608	1442 - 1773	1367	1753
Épée	Direct elimination	1830	1620 - 2039	1395	1923
Foil	Pool	1045	848 - 1241	855	1144
Foil	Direct elimination	1051	692 - 1409	746	1729
Saber	Pool	1527	1184 - 1869	972	1527
Saber	Direct elimination	1897	1271 - 2522	1549	1983

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Create a free account with your USFA number to unlock projected win chances and strength changes.

Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.