Statistics Profile

Christopher Alexander

2009

Freehold Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1640	1473 - 1806	1367	1753
Épée	Direct elimination	1839	1634 - 2043	1394	1923
Foil	Pool	1035	840 - 1229	855	1144
Foil	Direct elimination	1017	667 - 1366	746	1729
Saber	Pool	1621	1296 - 1945	972	1621
Saber	Direct elimination	2077	1513 - 2640	1549	2077

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.