Statistics Profile

Beatrix Bergmann

2009

Savage Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1510	1296 - 1723	1510	2266
Épée	Direct elimination	1939	1584 - 2293	1541	2205
Foil	Pool	1186	995 - 1376	890	1221
Foil	Direct elimination	1407	1060 - 1753	1368	1775

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.