Statistics Profile

Jeremy Orgeron

1997

Des Moines Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1280	662 - 1897	1280	1761
Épée	Direct elimination	2039	1098 - 2979	2039	2566
Foil	Pool	1649	1076 - 2221	1328	1649
Foil	Direct elimination	1846	1063 - 2628	1713	1846
Saber	Pool	1978	976 - 2979	1978	1978
Saber	Direct elimination	1931	549 - 3312	1931	1931

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.