Statistics Profile

Andrew Lee

2004

University of South Florida Fencing Club Southwest Florida Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1568	1203 - 1932	1568	1568
Épée	Direct elimination	1889	1142 - 2635	1889	1889
Foil	Pool	1051	718 - 1383	839	1051
Foil	Direct elimination	1205	469 - 1940	1047	1763
Saber	Pool	1644	1384 - 1903	1108	1644
Saber	Direct elimination	2026	1586 - 2465	1539	2095

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.