Statistics Profile

William Rivabem

2006

George Washington University Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	857	49 - 1664	857	857
Épée	Direct elimination	1541	369 - 2712	1541	1541
Saber	Pool	1211	767 - 1654	1211	1874
Saber	Direct elimination	1723	857 - 2588	1723	2925

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.