Statistics Profile

Michelle Ostrikoff

1979

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1874	1649 - 2098	1741	2036
Épée	Direct elimination	2200	1808 - 2591	1560	2296
Foil	Pool	1587	997 - 2176	1587	1705
Foil	Direct elimination	2304	1486 - 3121	2274	2304
Saber	Pool	1585	1209 - 1960	1404	1585
Saber	Direct elimination	1681	940 - 2421	1681	2313

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.