Statistics Profile

Ryder Camp

2007

LA International Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1426	1229 - 1622	1243	1709
Épée	Direct elimination	1194	708 - 1679	1018	1937
Foil	Pool	1373	1000 - 1745	1373	2737
Foil	Direct elimination	1865	1137 - 2592	1865	3104
Saber	Pool	988	630 - 1345	988	1339
Saber	Direct elimination	995	193 - 1796	995	2079

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.