Statistics Profile

Wangzitai Xu

2007

Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 1637 1412 - 1861 1125 1775
Épée Direct elimination 2070 1655 - 2484 1930 2364
Foil Pool 1925 1220 - 2629 1925 1925
Foil Direct elimination 1574 406 - 2741 1574 1574

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

Log in to compare your projected matchup, or create an account with your USFA number to enable it.

Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.