Statistics Profile

PAUL VAUGHAN

1988

Buccaneer Blades Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2955	2644 - 3265	2764	2955
Épée	Direct elimination	3108	2813 - 3402	2816	3184
Foil	Pool	1936	1616 - 2255	1724	2129
Foil	Direct elimination	1966	1577 - 2354	1885	2301
Saber	Pool	2339	1312 - 3365	2339	2339
Saber	Direct elimination	2086	1004 - 3167	2086	2086

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.