Statistics Profile

Patrick Klinkenberg

2008

Hills Fencing Institute

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1435	1265 - 1604	1039	1478
Épée	Direct elimination	1615	1369 - 1860	886	1657
Saber	Pool	1479	333 - 2624	1479	1479

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.