Statistics Profile

Olivia Wang

2014

Swords Fencing Studio

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	807	628 - 985	439	2689
Épée	Direct elimination	1037	715 - 1358	1020	2079
Foil	Pool	486	73 - 898	252	598
Foil	Direct elimination	728	0 - 1577	728	1335

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.