Statistics Profile

Lucas Lin

2007

Future Stars Fencing

Is this your profile? Register with your USFA ID to claim it.

Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1601	1410 - 1791	553	1601
Foil	Direct elimination	1937	1655 - 2218	1651	1938

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Create a free account with your USFA number to unlock projected win chances and strength changes.

Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.