Statistics Profile

Zhi-yang Chen

2013

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	851	578 - 1123	733	902
Épée	Direct elimination	1450	932 - 1967	1450	1961
Foil	Pool	852	617 - 1086	335	943
Foil	Direct elimination	1581	1170 - 1991	1400	2312

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.