Statistics Profile

Kaden Wali

2007

University of Wisconsin-Madison

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1518	789 - 2246	1518	1518
Épée	Direct elimination	2114	1080 - 3147	2114	2114
Saber	Pool	1794	1560 - 2027	1268	2921
Saber	Direct elimination	2507	2212 - 2801	1986	2787

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.