Statistics Profile

Sarah Thomson

2002

Fresno Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1553	1326 - 1779	1254	1582
Épée	Direct elimination	1964	1545 - 2382	1865	2370
Foil	Pool	1044	608 - 1479	1044	1590
Foil	Direct elimination	1305	444 - 2165	1305	1920
Saber	Pool	1479	1050 - 1907	1419	2022
Saber	Direct elimination	1783	1112 - 2453	1783	2475

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.