Statistics Profile

Vincent Moxiao Wu

2014

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1585	721 - 2448	1585	1585
Épée	Direct elimination	1733	696 - 2769	1733	1733
Foil	Pool	1001	825 - 1176	911	1878
Foil	Direct elimination	1330	1054 - 1605	1021	1581

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.