Statistics Profile

Liam Daly

2012

Long Island Fencers Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	280	0 - 650	6	407
Épée	Direct elimination	427	0 - 1096	427	1201
Foil	Pool	1565	833 - 2296	1565	1565
Foil	Direct elimination	2569	1313 - 3824	2569	2569

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.