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Statistics Profile

Ryan Daly

2015
Long Island Fencers Club
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Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 2495 1427 - 3562 2495 2495
Épée Direct elimination 2079 640 - 3517 2079 2079
Foil Pool 2201 1275 - 3126 2201 2201
Foil Direct elimination 2079 640 - 3517 2079 2079
Saber Pool -7 0 - 423 -7 513
Saber Direct elimination 915 82 - 1747 915 1446

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.