Statistics Profile

Jacob Hord

2003

Round Rock Fencing Club, LLC

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1295	1069 - 1520	1255	1589
Épée	Direct elimination	1275	810 - 1739	1275	2073
Foil	Pool	1306	627 - 1984	1306	1798
Foil	Direct elimination	1858	844 - 2871	1858	1929
Saber	Pool	1157	446 - 1867	1157	1157

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.