Statistics Profile

Raymond Watson

1989

Richmond Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2198	2019 - 2376	1293	2268
Épée	Direct elimination	2434	2207 - 2660	1995	2438
Foil	Pool	1899	1331 - 2466	1856	2149
Foil	Direct elimination	1838	1067 - 2608	1837	2206

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.