Statistics Profile

Sam Long

1991

Denver Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2275	1542 - 3007	1892	2275
Épée	Direct elimination	2412	1738 - 3085	2318	2509
Foil	Pool	1509	1095 - 1922	1509	1782
Foil	Direct elimination	1805	1119 - 2490	1475	1805
Saber	Pool	1781	939 - 2622	1781	1781
Saber	Direct elimination	1726	526 - 2925	1726	1726

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.