Statistics Profile

Matthew Oxie

1996

Bay Regional Fencing Alliance Central Arkansas Fencing Club

Is this your profile? Register with your USFA ID to claim it.

Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1621	1296 - 1945	1147	1661
Épée	Direct elimination	1731	1264 - 2197	1645	2018
Foil	Pool	1101	768 - 1433	796	1242
Foil	Direct elimination	1296	719 - 1872	1296	1957
Saber	Pool	1426	1217 - 1634	1306	1486
Saber	Direct elimination	1655	1274 - 2035	1644	1922

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Create a free account with your USFA number to unlock projected win chances and strength changes.

Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.