Statistics Profile

Shane Kleckner

2008

Cyranos Place

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1528	1018 - 2037	1528	1703
Épée	Direct elimination	1493	464 - 2521	1493	1729
Foil	Pool	1294	1056 - 1531	1046	1573
Foil	Direct elimination	1484	1069 - 1898	1213	1964
Saber	Pool	1596	1279 - 1912	964	1596
Saber	Direct elimination	2179	1680 - 2677	1937	2179

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.