Statistics Profile

Ethan Otero

2004

Tampa Bay Fencers Inc.

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2053	1757 - 2348	1738	2053
Épée	Direct elimination	2575	2117 - 3032	2072	2575
Foil	Pool	1230	322 - 2137	1230	1230
Foil	Direct elimination	1959	911 - 3006	1959	1959

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.