Statistics Profile

Jincheng Arthur Gao

2013

Battle Born Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	661	241 - 1080	556	826
Épée	Direct elimination	1687	945 - 2428	1655	1959
Foil	Pool	592	0 - 1399	592	592
Foil	Direct elimination	1586	403 - 2768	1586	1586

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.