Statistics Profile

Blake Talley

2002

University Of North Texas Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1586	1382 - 1789	1518	2174
Épée	Direct elimination	1547	986 - 2107	1286	1842
Saber	Pool	866	368 - 1363	866	866
Saber	Direct elimination	1671	485 - 2856	1671	1671

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.