Statistics Profile

Ryan Salas

1999

Texas State University Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1388	837 - 1938	1388	1478
Épée	Direct elimination	1907	834 - 2979	1907	1907
Foil	Pool	988	218 - 1757	988	988
Foil	Direct elimination	2079	640 - 3517	2079	2079
Saber	Pool	1762	1369 - 2154	1762	2384
Saber	Direct elimination	2341	1833 - 2848	2079	2400

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.