Statistics Profile

Edward Calinsky

2004

Huntsville Fencing Club Fencing Club at Auburn University

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1851	1651 - 2050	1523	1869
Épée	Direct elimination	1873	1564 - 2181	1873	2588
Foil	Pool	1267	628 - 1905	1263	1267
Foil	Direct elimination	1513	425 - 2600	1513	1675

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.