Statistics Profile

Neil Tucker

2016

Enfield Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	750	168 - 1331	542	750
Foil	Direct elimination	2144	1304 - 2983	1487	2144
Saber	Pool	1133	660 - 1605	1129	1519
Saber	Direct elimination	1600	470 - 2729	1600	2079

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.