Statistics Profile

Andrew Gao

2009

Dynamo Fencing Center Inc.

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1099	735 - 1462	1099	1181
Épée	Direct elimination	1584	812 - 2355	1584	1707
Foil	Pool	1626	1450 - 1801	1401	1701
Foil	Direct elimination	1420	1094 - 1745	925	1558

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.