Statistics Profile

Evan Tian

2012

Fencing Academy Of Philadelphia - University City

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	2769	1695 - 3842	2769	2769
Foil	Direct elimination	2168	722 - 3613	2168	2168
Saber	Pool	1105	872 - 1337	1105	2988
Saber	Direct elimination	1635	1171 - 2098	1635	2508

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.