Statistics Profile

William Li Cash

2012

Penta Olympic Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1563	1392 - 1733	1354	2782
Épée	Direct elimination	1981	1777 - 2184	1763	2467
Foil	Pool	1125	896 - 1353	834	1176
Foil	Direct elimination	1543	1139 - 1946	1095	1580

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.