Statistics Profile

Peter Wang

2002

Fencing Club at Indiana University

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1831	1509 - 2152	1815	2217
Épée	Direct elimination	1258	546 - 1969	1087	1567
Saber	Pool	1875	1000 - 2749	1875	1875
Saber	Direct elimination	1788	494 - 3081	1788	1788

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.