Statistics Profile

Chris Wingler

1980

Round Rock Fencing Club, LLC

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1403	606 - 2199	1403	1403
Épée	Direct elimination	1566	388 - 2743	1566	1566
Saber	Pool	1074	448 - 1699	881	1452
Saber	Direct elimination	2413	1225 - 3600	2079	2413

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.