Statistics Profile

Jason Park

1999

Boston Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1256	350 - 2161	1256	1256
Foil	Direct elimination	1941	679 - 3202	1941	1941
Saber	Pool	1774	1019 - 2528	1774	1774
Saber	Direct elimination	2341	1150 - 3531	2341	2341

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.